Vaccines, Lightning, Lottery: What Are the Odds?

The odds of being killed in a tornado in a given year are 1 in 5,693,092.

The odds of being struck by lightning in a given year are 1 in 1,107,143.

The odds of winning the grand prize in the lottery are 1 in 175,223,510.

Thank you Mr. Lottery!

Why am I mentioning this? Why is it even relevant? Surely almost all of you have been through a tornado and survived, right? Surely every single one of you reading this has seen lightning and are still alive, right? And I am going out on a limb here, but almost certainly none of you reading this has ever won the grand prize of the lottery, correct?

I am bringing these statistics up for one simple reason: vaccines.

Yes, the scary and extremely controversial subject that somehow science doesn’t understand yet we are still pumping our kids full of them. Well, why don’t we look at some data?

Per: National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (VICP) Adjudication Categories by Vaccine for Claims Filed Calendar Year 2006 to Present.

Vaccine Alleged by Petitioner

No. of Doses Distributed US CY 2006 – CY 2013 (Source: CDC)

Compensable

Compensable Total

Dismissed/ Non-Compensable Total

Grand Total

Concession

Court Decision

Settlement

DT

652,327

1

3

4

4

8

DTaP

75,888,233

10

17

71

98

72

170

DTaP-Hep B-IPV

43,929,797

4

6

18

28

38

66

DTaP-HIB

1,135,474

0

1

1

DTaP-IPV-HIB

39,590,896

5

5

11

16

DTP

04

1

2

3

2

5

DTP-HIB

04

0

1

1

Hep A-Hep B

11,662,755

8

8

1

9

Hep B-HIB

4,796,583

1

1

1

3

1

4

Hepatitis A (Hep A)

124,212,280

2

4

20

26

18

44

Hepatitis B (Hep B)

129,820,136

2

10

35

47

34

81

HIB

83,517,849

1

4

5

4

9

HPV

67,250,524

10

62

71

80

151

Influenza5

944,000,000

36

67

728

831

165

996

IPV

58,019,052

4

4

2

6

Measles

135,660

1

1

1

Meningococcal

58,412,363

1

1

22

24

3

27

MMR

73,441,556

15

13

52

80

69

149

MMR-Varicella

11,028,270

8

7

15

8

23

Nonqualified6

N/A

0

21

21

OPV

0

1

1

3

4

Vaccine Alleged by Petitioner

No. of Doses Distributed US CY 2006 – CY 2013 (Source: CDC)

Compensable

Compensable Total

Dismissed/ Non-Compensable Total

Grand Total

Concession

Court Decision

Settlement

Pneumococcal Conjugate

132,932,107

1

5

6

13

19

Rotavirus

70,719,103

1

3

15

19

6

25

Rubella

422,548

1

1

1

Td

55,742,830

4

5

49

58

15

73

Tdap

155,106,848

11

6

74

91

11

102

TETANUS

3,836,052

3

17

20

10

30

Unspecified7

N/A

1

2

3

541

544

Varicella

90,425,492

3

5

20

28

10

38

Grand Total

2,236,678,735

114

142

1,225

1,480

1,144

2,624

Guys, this is it. This is all of the actual cases taken to court that has found vaccines accountable for an injury. All of them.

I honestly don’t want to hear,”What about the shots that the parents never took the kids to trial over!” That is a terrible argument. If your kid were “vaccine injured” and “regressed to autism,” would you not seek out legal help? There are ambulance chasers plastered over every city that work for free if no money is won, are you telling me they won’t do the same in HUGE money cases like this?

Rant over. What we see here is this: There is a 0.0000013% chance of your kid suffering an injury from a vaccine. You have a 1 in 1,300,000 chance of being injured from vaccines. Sure, you have better chance of being injured by vaccines than winning the lottery and being killed by tornadoes. Lets throw lottery out. Lets look at tornadoes. You are a little less than 5 times more likely to be injured by vaccines than you are to be killed by a tornado. That is not much. Are you fleeing tornado zones in mass exodus? No.

You are MORE likely to be injured in a lightning strike than you are by a vaccine. Do you cry foul and petition to the government to end lightning? No!

The numbers do not lie. They simply do not. If you are against vaccines, you have a 99.9999987% reason to not be. And after that, well, you are simply pleading ignorance.

4 Comments
  1. These odds are quite impressive. I have a question about the winning cases. Do you know how a vaccine injury case is won? For example are there cases where there might not have been an injury from the vaccination but they settled for some other reason?

    • There probably are cases where vaccine was not culpable for the injury. I was providing benefit of the doubt and just assuming that all of the paid settlements or court rulings were, in fact, directly because of a vaccine injury.

      When you think about that, it makes the case for vaccines being overall safe even more impressive. You would have to go through each individual case and know law to be able to decipher these things, though. For the sake of uniformity, I assume the stats told us the the vaccine did cause injury.

    • Also, it would be important to know how severe these injuries were. A 1 in million chance of getting a rash from a vaccine seems like a favorable alternative than dying from the disease it is designed to prevent.

      • Good point. I have to look it up, but I believe a rash is actually a common injury from vaccines. However, there is potential for someone to be seriously injured by a vaccine. But that risk involved immune-compromised systems in the person and getting a vaccine could put these people a serious risk. Which is why herd immunity is such an important thing. Some kids simply cannot get vaccinations because of what I just mentioned.

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